Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.926667 2.225049 2.552962 2.939889 3.383820 3.877089 4.466661
2025-04-06 1.507185 1.895688 2.358687 2.950486 3.686285 4.570561 5.713715
2025-04-13 1.149489 1.558764 2.082540 2.800632 3.758339 4.990526 6.695545
2025-04-20 0.977411 1.417308 2.017078 2.892077 4.133651 5.829880 8.321440
2025-04-27 0.862594 1.328916 2.002073 3.040594 4.598394 6.843949 10.322836
2025-05-04 0.751114 1.223422 1.941883 3.108492 4.949469 7.736027 12.267049
2025-05-11 0.654361 1.122214 1.869194 3.140736 5.243140 8.571228 14.227983
2025-05-18 0.553475 0.996428 1.736588 3.053597 5.328421 9.083358 15.734888
2025-05-25 0.461182 0.869304 1.581217 2.901999 5.279040 9.359885 16.874136
2025-06-01 0.407560 0.801748 1.517343 2.897353 5.477169 10.069593 18.832978
2025-06-08 0.355093 0.727714 1.430474 2.836785 5.562747 10.585586 20.500796
2025-06-15 0.337129 0.717402 1.460181 2.997856 6.078948 11.937891 23.867013
2025-06-22 0.312166 0.690510 1.456624 3.098766 6.502844 13.187882 27.235803
2025-06-29 0.280874 0.645507 1.410546 3.107537 6.744692 14.116769 30.095400
2025-07-06 0.239094 0.570958 1.292433 2.948546 6.618268 14.294178 31.451566
2025-07-13 0.223355 0.552560 1.292063 3.043863 7.046096 15.662487 35.472592
2025-07-20 0.213426 0.546132 1.317205 3.199451 7.626618 17.422648 40.555443
2025-07-27 0.198579 0.525384 1.306490 3.270486 8.024086 18.829528 45.024916
2025-08-03 0.182985 0.500220 1.281666 3.304175 8.338079 20.084936 49.299916
2025-08-10 0.162226 0.458276 1.209926 3.212501 8.338014 20.616244 51.941552
2025-08-17 0.140708 0.410651 1.116871 3.053142 8.147710 20.671575 53.437149
2025-08-24 0.128960 0.388034 1.085104 3.048222 8.348324 21.695459 57.442394
2025-08-31 0.115954 0.359685 1.034049 2.984556 8.387208 22.321969 60.519106